Filing Flows › Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) › Stock forecast & fair value
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) stock forecast and fair value
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) trades at $2.87. 2 analysts' median price target is $2.25 (-22%), from $2.00 to $2.50. Across 6 valuation methods the middle fair value is $26.99 (+840%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residual income | $8.78 | $9.12 | $9.47 | +218% |
| Analysts' price targets | $2.00 | $2.25 | $2.50 | -22% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $26.70 | $30.93 | $36.75 | +978% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $26.54 | $30.74 | $36.52 | +971% |
| Stage-weighted value (reit) | $16.67 | $18.73 | $21.49 | +553% |
| H-model dividend discount | $23.30 | $26.99 | $32.07 | +840% |
Arbor Realty Trust's latest quarter
Arbor Realty Trust, Q3 2026: revenue $94.1M (-16% year over year), operating margin -88.8%, net loss $82.4M, operating cash flow $202M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for ABR stock?
The median of 2 analysts' 12-month targets is $2.25, -22% from $2.87; the range is $2.00 to $2.50. The average rating is hold.
What is Arbor Realty Trust's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $2.25 and $30.93, with a middle value of $26.99 against a price of $2.87. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Arbor Realty Trust usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.
Is ABR stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.