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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Archer-Daniels-Midland gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Apr 30, 2024. Its releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it 3 times.

Adjusted net income

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 2026$448M (Nov 4, 2025)———
FY2024$530M (Nov 5, 2024)———

Operating cash flow

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2024$2.5B (Nov 5, 2024)$2.8B (GAAP)not judged—

Capital expenditures

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$1.3B–$1.5B (Feb 3, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.3B–$1.5B (May 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.3B–$1.5B (Aug 4, 2026) → lowered $1.2B–$1.3B (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—

Adjusted EPS

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$3.60–$4.25 (Feb 3, 2026) → raised $4.15–$4.70 (May 5, 2026) → raised $5.15–$5.60 (Aug 4, 2026) → raised $5.50–$5.80 (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$0.22 (Nov 4, 2025)———
FY2025$4.00–$4.75 (Feb 4, 2025) → reaffirmed $4.00–$4.75 (May 6, 2025) → lowered $4.00 (Aug 5, 2025) → lowered $3.25–$3.50 (Nov 4, 2025)———
FY2024$2.00 (Apr 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.00 (Jul 30, 2024) → raised $4.50–$5.00 (Nov 5, 2024) → reaffirmed $4.50–$5.00 (Nov 18, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Archer-Daniels-Midland, Q3 2026: revenue $22.3B (+10% year over year), operating margin 4.5%, net earnings $826M, operating cash flow $489M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Archer-Daniels-Midland beat its guidance?

Archer-Daniels-Midland gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Apr 30, 2024. Its releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it 3 times.

How often does Archer-Daniels-Midland raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it 3 times since Apr 30, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.