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Is Advantage Solutions (ADV) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Advantage Solutions on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 1.5% ($55.7M on revenue of $3.6B), too thin to carry buyout debt. Historically 7.7% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.53× the average).

Share price$30.23
Market value$387M
Enterprise value$1.8B
Cash$131M
Debt$1.6B
Revenue, 12 months$3.6B
Revenue growth+3%
EBITDA, 12 months$55.7M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

Advantage Solutions kept 1.5% of its revenue as EBITDA over the last 12 months ($55.7M on $3.6B). A margin that thin cannot carry the debt a leveraged buyout needs — a small dip in sales would leave nothing for interest — so the model gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Advantage Solutions would cost about $42.32 a share, $542M for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)14.7%$34.67$444M
Median40%$42.32$542M
High end (a quarter paid more)60.2%$48.43$621M

The odds, from history

Historically 7.7% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.53× the average). Its figures put it in decile 10 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Advantage Solutions' latest quarter

Advantage Solutions, Q3 2026: revenue $914M (-0.1% year over year), operating margin 0.8%, net loss $25.1M, operating cash flow $51.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Advantage Solutions being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Advantage Solutions?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Advantage Solutions on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 1.5% ($55.7M on revenue of $3.6B), too thin to carry buyout debt. A margin that thin leaves almost nothing to pay interest with, so buyout debt does not fit.

What would a takeover of Advantage Solutions cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Advantage Solutions would cost about $42.32 a share, $542M for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.