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AAR earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score44 / 100 · grade D · rank 937 of 1027

AAR (AIR) scores 44 of 100 for earnings quality, grade D: rank 937 of 1027 companies and 244 of 287 in industrials. It loses the most points on accruals of +2.9% of assets, higher than 93% of companies, Dechow F-score 2.14 (substantial), Montier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed. It earns full or near-full marks for Beneish M-score -2.18: in the grey zone, profit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.02).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of +2.9% of assets, higher than 93% of companies120
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.18: in the grey zone1415
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 2.14 (substantial)315
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed515
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +8.8% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most110
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 6 of 9710
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 8% below GAAP810
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.02)55
AIR: share of the available points, by componentAIR: share of the available points, by componentAccruals7%Discretionary accruals14%Beneish M-score91%Dechow F-score21%Montier C-score33%Piotroski F-score67%Non-GAAP gap75%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → AAR: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.