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Astera Labs (ALAB) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Astera Labs gave guidance in 11 earnings releases on file since May 7, 2024. Of 20 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 14 times (70%). Revenue: 6 of 6, on average +8.8% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 0 times and lowered it once.

Revenue

Astera Labs Revenue: last guidance vs reportedAstera Labs Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2025$192MQ3 2025$231MQ4 2025$271MQ1 2026$308MQ2 2026$392MQ3 2026$585MQ4 2026

Met or beat 6 of 6 periods (6 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$730M–$750M (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$540M–$560M (Aug 4, 2026)$585Mabove the range+6.3%
Q2 2026$355M–$365M (May 5, 2026)$392Mabove the range+9.0%
Q1 2026$286M–$297M (Feb 10, 2026)$308Mabove the range+5.8%
Q4 2025$245M–$253M (Nov 4, 2025)$271Mabove the range+8.7%
Q3 2025$203M–$210M (Aug 5, 2025)$231Mabove the range+11.7%
Q2 2025$170M–$175M (May 6, 2025)$192Mabove the range+11.3%

GAAP gross margin

Astera Labs GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedAstera Labs GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2024Q2 202575.8%Q3 202576.2%Q4 202575.6%Q1 202676.3%Q2 202673.3%Q3 202672.3%Q4 2026

Met or beat 6 of 6 periods (4 above, 2 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 202672.0% (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 202672.0% (Aug 4, 2026)72.3%within the range+0.3 pts
Q2 202673.0% (May 5, 2026)73.3%within the range+0.3 pts
Q1 202674.0% (Feb 10, 2026)76.3%above the range+2.3 pts
Q4 202575.0% (Nov 4, 2025)75.6%above the range+0.6 pts
Q3 202575.0% (Aug 5, 2025)76.2%above the range+1.2 pts
Q2 202574.0% (May 6, 2025)75.8%above the range+1.8 pts
Q2 202477.0% (May 7, 2024)———

Adjusted gross margin

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q2 202673.0% (May 5, 2026)———
Q1 202674.0% (Feb 10, 2026)———
Q4 202575.0% (Nov 4, 2025)———
Q3 202575.0% (Aug 5, 2025)———
Q2 202574.0% (May 6, 2025)———
Q2 202477.0% (May 7, 2024)———

GAAP operating expenses

Astera Labs GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedAstera Labs GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2025$106MQ3 2025$120MQ4 2025$138MQ1 2026$173MQ2 2026$198MQ3 2026$244MQ4 2026

Met or beat 1 of 6 periods (5 above, 0 within, 1 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$273M–$279M (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$232M–$236M (Aug 4, 2026)$244Mabove the range+4.1%
Q2 2026$188M–$191M (May 5, 2026)$198Mabove the range+4.7%
Q1 2026$155M–$161M (Feb 10, 2026)$173Mabove the range+9.7%
Q4 2025$129M–$134M (Nov 4, 2025)$138Mabove the range+4.6%
Q3 2025$116M–$120M (Aug 5, 2025)$120Mabove the range+2.0%
Q2 2025$113M–$115M (May 6, 2025)$106Mbelow the range-7.2%

Adjusted operating expenses

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$194M–$200M (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$156M–$160M (Aug 4, 2026)———
Q2 2026$128M–$131M (May 5, 2026)———
Q1 2026$112M–$118M (Feb 10, 2026)———
Q4 2025$85.0M–$90.0M (Nov 4, 2025)———
Q3 2025$76.0M–$80.0M (Aug 5, 2025)———
Q2 2025$73.0M–$75.0M (May 6, 2025)———

GAAP tax rate

Astera Labs GAAP tax rate: last guidance vs reportedAstera Labs GAAP tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 202543.0%Q1 2026Q2 2026Q3 20264.7%Q4 2026

Met or beat 1 of 2 periods (1 above, 0 within, 1 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 202620.0% (Nov 3, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 20264.0% (Aug 4, 2026)4.7%above the range+0.7 pts
Q2 20261.0% (May 5, 2026)———
Q1 20261.0% (Feb 10, 2026)———
Q4 202545.0% (Nov 4, 2025)43.0%below the range-2.0 pts
Q3 202510.0% (Aug 5, 2025)———
Q2 202521.0% (May 6, 2025)———
Q2 2024-20.0% (May 7, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Astera Labs, Q3 2026: revenue $585M (+154% year over year), operating margin 30.6%, net earnings $183M, operating cash flow $179M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Astera Labs beat its guidance?

Astera Labs gave guidance in 11 earnings releases on file since May 7, 2024. Of 20 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 14 times (70%). Revenue: 6 of 6, on average +8.8% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Astera Labs raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 0 times and lowered it once since May 7, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.