Filing Flows › Allient (ALNT) › Takeover & LBO
Is Allient (ALNT) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($142.88 a share) would return about 2% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $74.29 a share (−32% against today's $109.91). Historically 5.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.0× the average).
The buyout, step by step
| Entry | Amount | How |
|---|---|---|
| Offer price a share | $142.88 | today's $109.91 plus 30% |
| × shares | 16.9 million | |
| = Equity value | $2.4B | |
| + Debt refinanced | $173M | |
| − Cash | $42.1M | |
| = Enterprise value | $2.5B | 30.4× EBITDA of $83.7M |
| Fees | $50.9M | 2% of the price |
| New debt | $460M | 5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA |
| Buyer's own money | $2.1B | 82% of the cost |
5 years under the buyer
| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Interest | Free cash flow | Debt left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $648M | $90.4M | $35.2M | $33.5M | $427M |
| Year 2 | $692M | $96.5M | $32.7M | $40.6M | $386M |
| Year 3 | $730M | $102M | $29.5M | $47.6M | $339M |
| Year 4 | $761M | $106M | $25.9M | $54.5M | $284M |
| Year 5 | $784M | $109M | $21.7M | $61.1M | $223M |
The exit and the buyer's return
| Exit | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit multiple | 23.8× EBITDA | today's trading multiple, before any premium |
| Enterprise value at exit | $2.6B | |
| − Debt left | $223M | |
| = Buyer's equity | $2.4B | |
| Money multiple | 1.11× | on $2.1B put in |
| Buyer's yearly return (IRR) | 2.1% |
Price against return
What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $109.91; the IRR reaches 20% at $74.29 a share.
| Premium | Price a share | Buyer's IRR |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $120.90 | 6.2% |
| 20% | $131.89 | 4.0% |
| 30% | $142.88 | 2.1% |
| 40% | $153.87 | 0.4% |
| 50% | $164.87 | −1.1% |
The figures used
| Figure | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $600M | |
| EBITDA, last 12 months | $83.7M | 13.9% of revenue |
| Depreciation and amortization | $25.1M | |
| Capital spending | $10.9M | |
| Debt | $173M | |
| Cash | $42.1M | |
| Share price | $109.91 | on Oct 9, 2026 |
Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 8.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 18% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Allient would cost about $153.87 a share, $2.6B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 14.7% | $126.07 | $2.1B |
| Median | 40% | $153.87 | $2.6B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 60.2% | $176.08 | $3.0B |
The odds, from history
Historically 5.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.0× the average). Its figures put it in decile 6 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Allient's latest quarter
Allient, Q3 2026: revenue $164M (+18% year over year), operating margin 13.6%, net earnings $15.3M, operating cash flow $2.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Allient being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy Allient?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($142.88 a share) would return about 2% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $74.29 a share (−32% against today's $109.91).
What would a takeover of Allient cost?
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Allient would cost about $153.87 a share, $2.6B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.