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Aon (AON) stock forecast and fair value

Aon (AON) trades at $344.40. 19 analysts' median price target is $363.00 (+5%), from $259.00 to $435.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $225.33 (-35%).

Price$344.40
Median target$363.00
Fair value, middle$225.33
EPS beat rate100%
Aon fair value by method (price $344.40)Aon fair value by method (price $344.40)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$454.98P/E vs peers, weighted$452.41Residual income$122.43P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$161.67Analysts' price targets$363.21Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$59.56Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$465.03Dividend discount (Gordon)$85.74Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$225.33Combined forecast (3 months)$356.69

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$410.09$454.98$803.63+32%
P/E vs peers, weighted$370.00$452.41$719.01+31%
Residual income$117.69$122.43$127.46-64%
P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$96.80$161.67$226.55-53%
Analysts' price targets$259.00$363.21$435.00+5%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$49.77$59.56$74.15-83%
Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$363.54$465.03$645.14+35%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$67.03$85.74$118.94-75%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$179.16$225.33$317.56-35%
Combined forecast (3 months)$280.57$356.69$442.28+4%

Aon's latest quarter

Aon, Q3 2026: revenue $4.1B (+3% year over year), operating margin 19.7%, net earnings $476M, operating cash flow $1.2B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for AON stock?

The median of 19 analysts' 12-month targets is $363.00, +5% from $344.40; the range is $259.00 to $435.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Aon's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $59.56 and $465.03, with a middle value of $225.33 against a price of $344.40. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Aon usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is AON stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.