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Athene Holding (ATH-PA) stock forecast and fair value

Athene Holding (ATH-PA) trades at $22.53. Across 7 valuation methods the middle fair value is $73.40 (+226%).

Price$22.53
Fair value, middle$73.40
Athene Holding fair value by method (price $22.53)Athene Holding fair value by method (price $22.53)low – highpoint estimateResidual income$65.35P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$114.47Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$83.59Dividend discount (Gordon)$52.90Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$82.50Combined forecast (3 months)$23.43H-model dividend discount$73.40

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Residual income$62.88$65.35$67.96+190%
P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$0.00$114.47$248.21+408%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$68.71$83.59$106.71+271%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$46.38$52.90$61.55+135%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$34.43$82.50$138.78+266%
Combined forecast (3 months)$18.45$23.43$29.03+4%
H-model dividend discount$60.33$73.40$93.69+226%

Athene Holding's latest quarter

Athene Holding, Q3 2026: revenue $3.1B (-62% year over year), operating margin -56.7%, net loss $1.3B, operating cash flow $827M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is Athene Holding's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $23.43 and $114.47, with a middle value of $73.40 against a price of $22.53. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Is ATH-PA stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.