Filing Flows › Aurora Innovation (AUR) › Stock forecast & fair value
Aurora Innovation (AUR) stock forecast and fair value
Aurora Innovation (AUR) trades at $5.83. 12 analysts' median price target is $10.50 (+80%), from $3.59 to $18.00. Across 11 valuation methods the middle fair value is $0.29 (-95%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $0.07 | $0.08 | $0.09 | -99% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $0.07 | $0.07 | $0.08 | -99% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted | $0.09 | $0.11 | $0.13 | -98% |
| Residual income | −$0.28 | −$0.29 | −$0.29 | -105% |
| Analysts' price targets | $3.59 | $11.55 | $18.00 | +98% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $0.53 | $0.67 | $0.67 | -89% |
| Net cash (floor) | $0.06 | $0.07 | $0.07 | -99% |
| Survival-weighted value | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.30 | -95% |
| Stage-weighted value (pre-revenue) | $0.25 | $0.29 | $0.29 | -95% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $4.77 | $6.06 | $7.51 | +4% |
Aurora Innovation's latest quarter
Aurora Innovation, Q3 2026: revenue $3.0M (+200% year over year), net loss $234M, operating cash flow −$170M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for AUR stock?
The median of 12 analysts' 12-month targets is $10.50, +80% from $5.83; the range is $3.59 to $18.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Aurora Innovation's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.29 and $11.55, with a middle value of $0.29 against a price of $5.83. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Aurora Innovation usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is AUR stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.