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Axis Capital Holdings (AXS) stock forecast and fair value

Axis Capital Holdings (AXS) trades at $105.90. 11 analysts' median price target is $122.00 (+15%), from $104.00 to $130.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $159.79 (+51%).

Price$105.90
Median target$122.00
Fair value, middle$159.79
EPS beat rate80%
Axis Capital Holdings fair value by method (price $105.90)Axis Capital Holdings fair value by method (price $105.90)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$148.16P/E vs peers, weighted$161.91P/E vs peers, matched$163.89Residual income$116.26P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$189.92Analysts' price targets$120.64Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$280.69Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$284.09Dividend discount (Gordon)$55.76Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$163.67

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$102.82$148.16$178.34+40%
P/E vs peers, weighted$135.54$161.91$185.74+53%
P/E vs peers, matched$146.00$163.89$195.76+55%
Residual income$111.94$116.26$120.84+10%
P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$64.71$189.92$315.12+79%
Analysts' price targets$104.00$120.64$130.00+14%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$234.89$280.69$348.69+165%
Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$222.71$284.09$392.18+168%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$43.71$55.76$76.97-47%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$108.93$163.67$227.24+55%

Axis Capital Holdings' latest quarter

Axis Capital Holdings, Q3 2026: revenue $1.8B (+7% year over year), operating margin 14.3%, net earnings $209M, operating cash flow $878M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for AXS stock?

The median of 11 analysts' 12-month targets is $122.00, +15% from $105.90; the range is $104.00 to $130.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Axis Capital Holdings' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $53.10 and $284.09, with a middle value of $159.79 against a price of $105.90. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Axis Capital Holdings usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is AXS stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.