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Is Brady (BRC) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($107.60 a share) would return about 3% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; no price, however low, gets a buyer to 20%. Historically 3.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.67× the average).

Share price$82.77
Offer at +30%$107.60
Buyer's IRR3%
EV / EBITDA12.3×
Buyout debt5.5× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$107.60today's $82.77 plus 30%
× shares47.8 million
= Equity value$5.1B
+ Debt refinanced$15.0M
− Cash$187M
= Enterprise value$5.0B16.1× EBITDA of $308M
Fees$99.5M2% of the price
New debt$1.7B5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA
Buyer's own money$3.4B67% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

Brady: buyout debt left, year by yearBrady: buyout debt left, year by year$1.7BEntry$1.6BYear 1$1.5BYear 2$1.3BYear 3$1.2BYear 4$969MYear 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$1.8B$333M$130M$102M$1.6B
Year 2$1.9B$356M$122M$124M$1.5B
Year 3$2.0B$375M$112M$146M$1.3B
Year 4$2.1B$391M$101M$167M$1.2B
Year 5$2.2B$403M$88.4M$187M$969M

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple12.3× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$4.9B
− Debt left$969M
= Buyer's equity$4.0B
Money multiple1.18×on $3.4B put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)3.3%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $82.77.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$91.059.1%
20%$99.326.0%
30%$107.603.3%
40%$115.881.0%
50%$124.16−1.0%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$1.7B
EBITDA, last 12 months$308M18.6% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$44.9M
Capital spending$51.5M
Debt$15.0M
Cash$187M
Share price$82.77on Oct 30, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 8.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 21% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Brady would cost about $109.67 a share, $5.2B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$99.32$4.7B
Median32.5%$109.67$5.2B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$125.64$6.0B

The odds, from history

Historically 3.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.67× the average). Its figures put it in decile 3 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Brady's latest quarter

Brady, Q4 FY26: revenue $437M (+10% year over year), operating margin 13.8%, net earnings $45.6M, operating cash flow $79.2M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Brady being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Brady?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($107.60 a share) would return about 3% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; no price, however low, gets a buyer to 20%.

What would a takeover of Brady cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Brady would cost about $109.67 a share, $5.2B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.