Filing Flows › Beazer Homes USA (BZH) › Stock forecast & fair value
Beazer Homes USA (BZH) stock forecast and fair value
Beazer Homes USA (BZH) trades at $33.48. 2 analysts' median price target is $27.50 (-18%), from $22.00 to $33.00. Across 12 valuation methods the middle fair value is $41.64 (+24%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $5.42 | $41.64 | $70.85 | +24% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $43.87 | $62.34 | $75.07 | +86% |
| Residual income | $26.86 | $27.84 | $28.89 | -17% |
| Analysts' price targets | $22.00 | $27.50 | $33.00 | -18% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $14.87 | $16.83 | $19.38 | -50% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $34.27 | $42.84 | $42.84 | +28% |
| Survival-weighted value | $6.81 | $41.28 | $69.09 | +23% |
| Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround) | $17.33 | $42.02 | $59.18 | +26% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $27.41 | $34.81 | $43.13 | +4% |
| Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out) | $0.00 | $48.18 | $125.79 | +44% |
Beazer Homes USA's latest quarter
Beazer Homes USA, Q3 FY26: revenue $516M (-5% year over year), operating margin -2.2%, net loss $4.2M, operating cash flow −$147M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for BZH stock?
The median of 2 analysts' 12-month targets is $27.50, -18% from $33.48; the range is $22.00 to $33.00. The average rating is none.
What is Beazer Homes USA's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $7.61 and $62.34, with a middle value of $41.64 against a price of $33.48. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Beazer Homes USA usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 75% of the quarters on record.
Is BZH stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.