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Is Conagra Brands (CAG) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Conagra Brands on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$1.3B over the last 12 months, on revenue of $11.2B). Historically 3.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.67× the average).

Share price$15.14
Market value$7.3B
Enterprise value$14.7B
Cash$372M
Debt$7.8B
Revenue, 12 months$11.2B
Revenue growth-2%
EBITDA, 12 months−$1.3B

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. Conagra Brands' EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$1.3B on revenue of $11.2B, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Conagra Brands would cost about $20.07 a share, $9.6B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$18.17$8.7B
Median32.5%$20.07$9.6B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$22.99$11.0B

The odds, from history

Historically 3.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.67× the average). Its figures put it in decile 3 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Conagra Brands' latest quarter

Conagra Brands, Q1 FY27: revenue $2.6B (-1% year over year), operating margin 10.3%, net earnings $174M, operating cash flow −$4.2M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Conagra Brands being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Conagra Brands?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Conagra Brands on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$1.3B over the last 12 months, on revenue of $11.2B). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of Conagra Brands cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Conagra Brands would cost about $20.07 a share, $9.6B for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.