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Carrier Global (CARR) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Carrier Global gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 6, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 0 times (0%). Revenue: 0 of 2, on average -7.3% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it 0 times.

Revenue

Carrier Global Revenue: last guidance vs reportedCarrier Global Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY2024$22.5BFY2025$21.7BFY2026

Met or beat 0 of 2 periods (0 above, 0 within, 2 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$22.0B (Feb 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $22.0B (Apr 30, 2026) → raised $23.0B (Jul 28, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$22.5B–$23.0B (Feb 11, 2025) → raised $23.0B (May 1, 2025) → reaffirmed $23.0B (Jul 29, 2025) → lowered $22.0B (Oct 28, 2025)$21.7Bbelow the range-1.1%
FY2024$26.0B (Apr 25, 2024)$22.5Bbelow the range-13.5%

Adjusted operating margin

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202516.5%–17.0% (Feb 11, 2025) → reaffirmed 16.5%–17.0% (May 1, 2025) → reaffirmed 16.5%–17.0% (Jul 29, 2025) → lowered 15.0%–15.5% (Oct 28, 2025)———
FY202415.0%–15.5% (Feb 6, 2024) → raised 15.5% (Apr 25, 2024)———

Operating income

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$3.4B (Apr 30, 2026) → raised $3.5B (Jul 28, 2026)—to be reported—

Adjusted operating income

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$3.4B (Feb 5, 2026)—to be reported—

Free cash flow

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$2.0B (Feb 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $2.0B (Apr 30, 2026) → reaffirmed $2.0B (Jul 28, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$2.4B–$2.6B (Feb 11, 2025) → reaffirmed $2.4B–$2.6B (May 1, 2025) → lowered $2.0B (Oct 28, 2025)$2.1B (GAAP)not judged—
FY2024$700M (Feb 6, 2024) → lowered $400M (Apr 25, 2024)$44.0M (GAAP)not judged—

Adjusted EPS

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$2.80 (Feb 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $2.80 (Apr 30, 2026) → raised $2.90 (Jul 28, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$2.95–$3.05 (Feb 11, 2025) → raised $3.00–$3.10 (May 1, 2025) → reaffirmed $3.00–$3.10 (Jul 29, 2025) → lowered $2.65 (Oct 28, 2025)———
FY2024$2.80–$2.90 (Feb 6, 2024) → lowered $0.05 (Apr 25, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Carrier Global, Q3 2026: revenue $6.3B (+12% year over year), operating margin -36.3%, net loss $2.5B, operating cash flow $813M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Carrier Global beat its guidance?

Carrier Global gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 6, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 0 times (0%). Revenue: 0 of 2, on average -7.3% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Carrier Global raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it 0 times since Feb 6, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.