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Carrier Global (CARR) stock forecast and fair value

Carrier Global (CARR) trades at $53.21. 23 analysts' median price target is $70.00 (+32%), from $55.00 to $88.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $55.33 (+4%).

Price$53.21
Median target$70.00
Fair value, middle$55.33
EPS beat rate80%
Carrier Global fair value by method (price $53.21)Carrier Global fair value by method (price $53.21)low – highpoint estimateEV/Sales vs peers$56.27EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$73.01Residual income$5.21Analysts' price targets$68.70Our model (Rotation forecast)$57.28Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$60.85Tangible book (asset value)$0.00Survival-weighted value$55.71Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$33.61Combined forecast (3 months)$55.33

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
EV/Sales vs peers$54.33$56.27$77.06+6%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$55.91$73.01$92.12+37%
Residual income$5.01$5.21$5.42-90%
Analysts' price targets$55.00$68.70$88.00+29%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$42.53$57.28$77.14+8%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$53.70$60.85$70.19+14%
Tangible book (asset value)$0.00$0.00$0.00—
Survival-weighted value$53.78$55.71$76.28+5%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$32.45$33.61$46.03-37%
Combined forecast (3 months)$43.57$55.33$68.55+4%

Carrier Global's latest quarter

Carrier Global, Q3 2026: revenue $6.3B (+12% year over year), operating margin -36.3%, net loss $2.5B, operating cash flow $813M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for CARR stock?

The median of 23 analysts' 12-month targets is $70.00, +32% from $53.21; the range is $55.00 to $88.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Carrier Global's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.00 and $73.01, with a middle value of $55.33 against a price of $53.21. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Carrier Global usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is CARR stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.