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CareDx (CDNA) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

CareDx gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Oct 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +1.5% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it 0 times.

Revenue

CareDx Revenue: last guidance vs reportedCareDx Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY2024$334MFY2025$380MFY2026

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (2 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$420M–$444M (Feb 24, 2026) → reaffirmed $420M–$444M (Feb 25, 2026) → raised $447M–$465M (Apr 28, 2026) → raised $490M–$500M (Jul 30, 2026) → raised $520M–$530M (Oct 29, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$365M–$375M (Feb 26, 2025) → reaffirmed $365M–$375M (Apr 30, 2025) → reaffirmed $367M–$373M (Aug 6, 2025) → raised $372M–$376M (Nov 4, 2025)$380Mabove the range+1.6%
FY2024$327M–$331M (Nov 4, 2024)$334Mabove the range+1.4%

Adjusted revenue

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2024$327M–$331M (Nov 4, 2024)———

Adjusted gross margin

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202469.0% (Nov 4, 2024)———

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$30.0M–$45.0M (Feb 24, 2026) → reaffirmed $30.0M–$45.0M (Feb 25, 2026) → raised $43.0M–$57.0M (Apr 28, 2026) → raised $66.0M–$78.0M (Jul 30, 2026) → raised $90.0M–$100M (Oct 29, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2027$100M (Apr 30, 2025)—to be reported—
FY2025$8.0M–$9.0M (Jan 13, 2025) → raised $29.0M–$33.0M (Feb 26, 2025) → reaffirmed $29.0M–$33.0M (Apr 30, 2025) → reaffirmed $29.0M–$33.0M (Aug 6, 2025) → raised $35.0M–$39.0M (Nov 4, 2025)———
FY2024$18.0M–$22.0M (Nov 4, 2024)———

The latest quarter

CareDx, Q3 2026: revenue $139M (+39% year over year), operating margin 5.8%, net earnings $19.3M, operating cash flow $12.7M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does CareDx beat its guidance?

CareDx gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Oct 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +1.5% against the guided midpoint.

How often does CareDx raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it 0 times since Oct 15, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.