Filing Flows › Carlyle Group (CG) › Stock forecast & fair value
Carlyle Group (CG) stock forecast and fair value
Carlyle Group (CG) trades at $40.18. 19 analysts' median price target is $50.00 (+24%), from $41.00 to $73.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $27.61 (-31%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $16.97 | $24.07 | $35.22 | -40% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $20.53 | $27.61 | $61.79 | -31% |
| P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted | $14.21 | $22.24 | $34.81 | -45% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $10.85 | $28.85 | $45.93 | -28% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $15.74 | $34.25 | $66.08 | -15% |
| Residual income | $16.17 | $16.73 | $17.34 | -58% |
| Analysts' price targets | $41.00 | $51.47 | $73.00 | +28% |
| Owner earnings capitalized | $16.54 | $18.30 | $20.49 | -54% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $32.05 | $35.47 | $39.70 | -12% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $15.48 | $19.35 | $19.35 | -52% |
Carlyle Group's latest quarter
Carlyle Group, Q3 2026: revenue $334M (+0.4% year over year), operating margin -16.2%, net loss $76.8M, operating cash flow $361M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for CG stock?
The median of 19 analysts' 12-month targets is $50.00, +24% from $40.18; the range is $41.00 to $73.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Carlyle Group's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $13.56 and $56.58, with a middle value of $27.61 against a price of $40.18. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Carlyle Group usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.
Is CG stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.