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Casella Waste Systems (CWST) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Casella Waste Systems gave guidance in 8 earnings releases on file since Feb 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.8% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it 4 times.

Revenue

Casella Waste Systems Revenue: last guidance vs reportedCasella Waste Systems Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY2024$1.6BFY2025$1.8BFY2026

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (1 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$2.1B–$2.1B (Apr 30, 2026) → raised $2.1B–$2.1B (Aug 6, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$1.8B–$1.8B (Feb 12, 2025) → raised $1.8B–$1.8B (Jul 31, 2025) → raised $1.8B–$1.8B (Oct 30, 2025)$1.8Bwithin the range+0.1%
FY2024$1.5B–$1.5B (Feb 15, 2024) → raised $1.5B–$1.6B (Aug 1, 2024)$1.6Babove the range+1.4%

Net income

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$4.0M–$10.0M (Apr 30, 2026) → lowered $0–$6.0M (Aug 6, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$10.0M–$25.0M (Feb 12, 2025) → lowered $8.0M–$18.0M (Jul 31, 2025)———
FY2024$35.0M–$45.0M (Feb 15, 2024)———

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2024$180M (Feb 15, 2024)$203M (GAAP)not judged—

Operating cash flow

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2025$325M–$335M (Jul 31, 2025)$330M (GAAP)not judged—

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$473M–$483M (Apr 30, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$410M–$425M (Feb 12, 2025) → raised $415M–$425M (Oct 30, 2025)———
FY2024$350M–$360M (Feb 15, 2024) → raised $360M–$370M (Aug 1, 2024) → lowered $3.0M (Oct 30, 2024)———

Adjusted free cash flow

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$200M–$210M (Apr 30, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$165M–$180M (Feb 12, 2025) → raised $170M–$180M (Jul 31, 2025)———
FY2024$140M–$150M (Feb 15, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Casella Waste Systems, Q2 2026: revenue $544M (+17% year over year), operating margin 3.7%, net earnings $3.8M, operating cash flow $98.8M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Casella Waste Systems beat its guidance?

Casella Waste Systems gave guidance in 8 earnings releases on file since Feb 15, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.8% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Casella Waste Systems raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it 4 times since Feb 15, 2024.

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.