Filing Flows › Ducommun (DCO) › Takeover & LBO
Is Ducommun (DCO) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout does not work for Ducommun on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 2.2% ($19.2M on revenue of $865M), too thin to carry buyout debt. Historically 5.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.17× the average).
Why a leveraged buyout does not fit
Ducommun kept 2.2% of its revenue as EBITDA over the last 12 months ($19.2M on $865M). A margin that thin cannot carry the debt a leveraged buyout needs — a small dip in sales would leave nothing for interest — so the model gives no buyout price.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Ducommun would cost about $239.06 a share, $3.7B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 14.7% | $195.86 | $3.0B |
| Median | 40% | $239.06 | $3.7B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 60.2% | $273.56 | $4.3B |
The odds, from history
Historically 5.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.17× the average). Its figures put it in decile 8 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Ducommun's latest quarter
Ducommun, Q3 2026: revenue $227M (+6% year over year), operating margin 11.4%, net earnings $13.9M, operating cash flow $32.7M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Ducommun being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy Ducommun?
A leveraged buyout does not work for Ducommun on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 2.2% ($19.2M on revenue of $865M), too thin to carry buyout debt. A margin that thin leaves almost nothing to pay interest with, so buyout debt does not fit.
What would a takeover of Ducommun cost?
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Ducommun would cost about $239.06 a share, $3.7B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.