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Horton D R (DHI) stock forecast and fair value

Horton D R (DHI) trades at $152.28. 14 analysts' median price target is $148.50 (-2%), from $114.00 to $186.00. Across 18 valuation methods the middle fair value is $144.61 (-5%).

Price$152.28
Median target$148.50
Fair value, middle$144.61
EPS beat rate60%
Horton D R fair value by method (price $152.28)Horton D R fair value by method (price $152.28)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$156.88P/E vs peers, weighted$130.10P/E vs peers, matched$150.32EV/Sales vs peers$93.38EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$138.72EV/Sales vs peers, matched$112.26Residual income$100.24Analysts' price targets$146.50Our model (Rotation forecast)$144.61Owner earnings capitalized$196.34

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$139.58$156.88$162.47+3%
P/E vs peers, weighted$106.57$130.10$162.21-15%
P/E vs peers, matched$138.00$150.32$160.23-1%
EV/Sales vs peers$60.81$93.38$159.00-39%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$85.31$138.72$166.31-9%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$65.72$112.26$154.82-26%
Residual income$96.56$100.24$104.14-34%
Analysts' price targets$114.00$146.50$186.00-4%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$109.77$144.61$190.51-5%
Owner earnings capitalized$166.76$196.34$238.66+29%

Horton D R's latest quarter

Horton D R, Q4 FY26: revenue $9.4B (-3% year over year), operating margin 10.8%, net earnings $742M, operating cash flow $2.6B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for DHI stock?

The median of 14 analysts' 12-month targets is $148.50, -2% from $152.28; the range is $114.00 to $186.00. The average rating is hold.

What is Horton D R's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $43.41 and $307.98, with a middle value of $144.61 against a price of $152.28. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Horton D R usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.

Is DHI stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.