Filing Flows › Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) › Stock forecast & fair value
Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) stock forecast and fair value
Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) trades at $11.89. 12 analysts' median price target is $14.00 (+18%), from $10.00 to $22.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $15.38 (+29%); the DCF says $18.68.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | −$9.31 | $21.93 | $76.82 | +84% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | −$8.24 | $18.68 | $48.07 | +57% |
| Residual income | $6.96 | $7.22 | $7.50 | -39% |
| Analysts' price targets | $10.00 | $15.26 | $22.00 | +28% |
| Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo | −$4.09 | $17.63 | $61.73 | +48% |
| Owner earnings capitalized | $5.80 | $6.69 | $7.90 | -44% |
| Normalized (mid-cycle) P/E | $7.58 | $12.41 | $19.73 | +4% |
| Normalized (mid-cycle) DCF | $11.75 | $18.58 | $22.67 | +56% |
| Stage-weighted value (cyclical) | $9.67 | $15.49 | $21.20 | +30% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $9.71 | $12.33 | $15.29 | +4% |
Driven Brands Holdings' latest quarter
Driven Brands Holdings, Q2 2026: revenue $507M (+7% year over year), operating margin 14.4%, net earnings $34.2M, operating cash flow $75.7M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for DRVN stock?
The median of 12 analysts' 12-month targets is $14.00, +18% from $11.89; the range is $10.00 to $22.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Driven Brands Holdings' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $2.22 and $26.95, with a middle value of $15.38 against a price of $11.89. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Driven Brands Holdings usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is DRVN stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.