Filing Flows › Encore Capital Group (ECPG) › Stock forecast & fair value
Encore Capital Group (ECPG) stock forecast and fair value
Encore Capital Group (ECPG) trades at $114.14. 3 analysts' median price target is $115.00 (+0.8%), from $112.00 to $124.00. Across 12 valuation methods the middle fair value is $147.83 (+30%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $131.57 | $185.39 | $286.75 | +62% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $222.51 | $301.56 | $434.86 | +164% |
| Residual income | $97.23 | $100.98 | $104.96 | -12% |
| P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers) | $137.79 | $147.83 | $157.87 | +30% |
| Analysts' price targets | $112.00 | $117.00 | $124.00 | +3% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $56.54 | $65.43 | $77.62 | -43% |
| Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth) | $252.16 | $304.00 | $382.68 | +166% |
| Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer)) | $148.99 | $171.09 | $204.51 | +50% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $93.32 | $118.54 | $146.91 | +4% |
| Graham number | $106.36 | $130.27 | $150.42 | +14% |
Encore Capital Group's latest quarter
Encore Capital Group, Q3 2026: revenue $545M (+18% year over year), operating margin 42.3%, net earnings $124M, operating cash flow $107M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for ECPG stock?
The median of 3 analysts' 12-month targets is $115.00, +0.8% from $114.14; the range is $112.00 to $124.00. The average rating is none.
What is Encore Capital Group's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $65.43 and $304.00, with a middle value of $147.83 against a price of $114.14. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Encore Capital Group usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is ECPG stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.