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Filing Flows › Ericsson LM Telephone (ERIC) › Takeover & LBO

Is Ericsson LM Telephone (ERIC) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($13.34 a share) would return about 68% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $45.74 a share (346% against today's $10.26).

Share price$10.26
Offer at +30%$13.34
Buyer's IRR68%
Most for 20%$45.74
EV / EBITDA0.7×
Buyout debt0.6× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$13.34today's $10.26 plus 30%
× shares3,240.4 million
= Equity value$43.2B
+ Debt refinanced$0
− Cash$0
= Enterprise value$43.2B0.9× EBITDA of $47.5B
Fees$864M2% of the price
New debt$28.1B0.6× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 65% of the price
Buyer's own money$16.0B36% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

Ericsson LM Telephone: buyout debt left, year by yearEricsson LM Telephone: buyout debt left, year by year$28.1BEntry$0Year 1$0Year 2$0Year 3$0Year 4$0Year 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$243.8B$49.0B$2.1B$34.0B$0
Year 2$251.1B$50.4B$0$36.7B$0
Year 3$258.6B$52.0B$0$37.8B$0
Year 4$266.4B$53.5B$0$38.9B$0
Year 5$274.4B$55.1B$0$40.1B$0

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple1.0× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$55.1B
− Debt left$0
+ Cash built up$159.2B
= Buyer's equity$214.4B
Money multiple13.40×on $16.0B put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)68.1%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $10.26; the IRR reaches 20% at $45.74 a share.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$11.2974.5%
20%$12.3171.1%
30%$13.3468.1%
40%$14.3665.2%
50%$15.3962.6%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$236.7B
EBITDA, last 12 months$47.5B20.1% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$8.9B
Capital spending$2.6B
Debt$0
Cash$0
Share price$10.26on Nov 6, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 3.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 25% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Ericsson LM Telephone would cost about $13.34 a share, $43.2B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)12%$11.49$37.2B
Median30%$13.34$43.2B
High end (a quarter paid more)31%$13.44$43.6B

Ericsson LM Telephone's latest quarter

Ericsson LM Telephone, Q3 2026: revenue $59.5B (+6% year over year), operating margin 14.9%, net earnings $5.8B, operating cash flow $6.5B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Ericsson LM Telephone being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Ericsson LM Telephone?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($13.34 a share) would return about 68% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $45.74 a share (346% against today's $10.26).

What would a takeover of Ericsson LM Telephone cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Ericsson LM Telephone would cost about $13.34 a share, $43.2B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 9, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.