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Eagle Materials (EXP) stock forecast and fair value

Eagle Materials (EXP) trades at $186.04. 9 analysts' median price target is $195.00 (+5%), from $165.00 to $225.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $114.68 (-38%).

Price$186.04
Median target$195.00
Fair value, middle$114.68
EPS beat rate20%
Eagle Materials fair value by method (price $186.04)Eagle Materials fair value by method (price $186.04)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$261.37P/E vs peers, weighted$268.24EV/Sales vs peers$84.01EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$109.10Residual income$81.62Analysts' price targets$194.11Owner earnings capitalized$30.08Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$207.43Tangible book (asset value)$33.04Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$50.61

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$188.16$261.37$418.16+40%
P/E vs peers, weighted$199.07$268.24$416.38+44%
EV/Sales vs peers$27.56$84.01$122.53-55%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$54.67$109.10$141.92-41%
Residual income$78.64$81.62$84.78-56%
Analysts' price targets$165.00$194.11$225.00+4%
Owner earnings capitalized$26.15$30.08$35.40-84%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$180.33$207.43$244.11+11%
Tangible book (asset value)$26.44$33.04$33.04-82%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$26.78$50.61$65.51-73%

Eagle Materials' latest quarter

Eagle Materials, Q2 FY27: revenue $653M (+2% year over year), operating margin 22.0%, net earnings $112M, operating cash flow $210M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for EXP stock?

The median of 9 analysts' 12-month targets is $195.00, +5% from $186.04; the range is $165.00 to $225.00. The average rating is hold.

What is Eagle Materials' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $22.15 and $273.46, with a middle value of $114.68 against a price of $186.04. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Eagle Materials usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 20% of the quarters on record.

Is EXP stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.