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First American Financial (FAF) stock forecast and fair value

First American Financial (FAF) trades at $67.83. 5 analysts' median price target is $79.00 (+16%), from $75.00 to $83.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $79.00 (+16%).

Price$67.83
Median target$79.00
Fair value, middle$79.00
EPS beat rate80%
First American Financial fair value by method (price $67.83)First American Financial fair value by method (price $67.83)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$81.43P/E vs peers, weighted$100.91P/E vs peers, matched$82.36Residual income$62.81P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$107.42Analysts' price targets$79.00Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$57.97Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$113.44Dividend discount (Gordon)$50.89Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$85.27

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$59.26$81.43$101.00+20%
P/E vs peers, weighted$84.58$100.91$130.09+49%
P/E vs peers, matched$60.03$82.36$101.60+21%
Residual income$60.51$62.81$65.24-7%
P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$32.26$107.42$182.57+58%
Analysts' price targets$75.00$79.00$83.00+16%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$49.59$57.97$69.76-15%
Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$92.50$113.44$146.65+67%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$41.49$50.89$65.78-25%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$55.70$85.27$117.75+26%

First American Financial's latest quarter

First American Financial, Q3 2026: revenue $2.1B (+5% year over year), operating margin 10.9%, net earnings $177M, operating cash flow $238M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for FAF stock?

The median of 5 analysts' 12-month targets is $79.00, +16% from $67.83; the range is $75.00 to $83.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is First American Financial's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $35.45 and $113.44, with a middle value of $79.00 against a price of $67.83. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does First American Financial usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is FAF stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.