Filing Flows › Fortive (FTV) › Takeover & LBO
Is Fortive (FTV) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($84.80 a share) would return about 4% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $47.31 a share (−27% against today's $65.23). Historically 3.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.64× the average).
The buyout, step by step
| Entry | Amount | How |
|---|---|---|
| Offer price a share | $84.80 | today's $65.23 plus 30% |
| × shares | 303.9 million | |
| = Equity value | $25.8B | |
| + Debt refinanced | $3.5B | |
| − Cash | $377M | |
| + Other claims | $9.7M | preferred stock, minority interests |
| = Enterprise value | $28.9B | 22.0× EBITDA of $1.3B |
| Fees | $578M | 2% of the price |
| New debt | $7.2B | 5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA |
| Buyer's own money | $22.3B | 76% of the cost |
5 years under the buyer
| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Interest | Free cash flow | Debt left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $4.7B | $1.4B | $553M | $655M | $6.6B |
| Year 2 | $5.0B | $1.5B | $502M | $771M | $5.8B |
| Year 3 | $5.2B | $1.6B | $443M | $889M | $4.9B |
| Year 4 | $5.4B | $1.6B | $376M | $1.0B | $3.9B |
| Year 5 | $5.6B | $1.7B | $299M | $1.1B | $2.8B |
The exit and the buyer's return
| Exit | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit multiple | 17.5× EBITDA | today's trading multiple, before any premium |
| Enterprise value at exit | $29.3B | |
| − Debt left | $2.8B | |
| = Buyer's equity | $26.5B | |
| Money multiple | 1.19× | on $22.3B put in |
| Buyer's yearly return (IRR) | 3.5% |
Price against return
What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $65.23; the IRR reaches 20% at $47.31 a share.
| Premium | Price a share | Buyer's IRR |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $71.75 | 7.8% |
| 20% | $78.28 | 5.5% |
| 30% | $84.80 | 3.5% |
| 40% | $91.32 | 1.8% |
| 50% | $97.84 | 0.1% |
The figures used
| Figure | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $4.4B | |
| EBITDA, last 12 months | $1.3B | 29.9% of revenue |
| Depreciation and amortization | $450M | |
| Capital spending | $115M | |
| Debt | $3.5B | |
| Cash | $377M | |
| Share price | $65.23 | on Oct 30, 2026 |
Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 7.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 12% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Fortive would cost about $91.32 a share, $27.8B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 14.7% | $74.82 | $22.7B |
| Median | 40% | $91.32 | $27.8B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 60.2% | $104.50 | $31.8B |
The odds, from history
Historically 3.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.64× the average). Its figures put it in decile 3 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Fortive's latest quarter
Fortive, Q3 2026: revenue $1.1B (+8% year over year), operating margin 21.3%, net earnings $172M, operating cash flow $313M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Fortive being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy Fortive?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($84.80 a share) would return about 4% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $47.31 a share (−27% against today's $65.23).
What would a takeover of Fortive cost?
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Fortive would cost about $91.32 a share, $27.8B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.