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Genesis Energy LP (GEL) stock forecast and fair value

Genesis Energy LP (GEL) trades at $12.86. 3 analysts' median price target is $18.00 (+40%), from $17.00 to $19.00. Across 19 valuation methods the middle fair value is $26.82 (+109%); the DCF says $58.43.

Price$12.86
Median target$18.00
Fair value, middle$26.82
DCF$58.43
EPS beat rate40%
Genesis Energy LP fair value by method (price $12.86)Genesis Energy LP fair value by method (price $12.86)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$63.85DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$58.43P/E vs peers$12.39P/E vs peers, weighted$12.33EV/EBITDA vs peers$40.98EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$52.03EV/Sales vs peers−$3.72EV/Sales vs peers, weighted−$18.56Analysts' price targets$18.00Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo$19.09

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th$10.81$63.85$240.54+397%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile$14.05$58.43$125.22+354%
P/E vs peers$6.81$12.39$15.00-4%
P/E vs peers, weighted$6.91$12.33$13.60-4%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$22.67$40.98$63.81+219%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$34.46$52.03$79.02+305%
EV/Sales vs peers−$18.65−$3.72$27.72-129%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted−$22.26−$18.56$21.73-244%
Analysts' price targets$17.00$18.00$19.00+40%
Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo−$3.79$19.09$76.77+48%

Genesis Energy LP's latest quarter

Genesis Energy LP, Q3 2026: revenue $449M (+8% year over year), operating margin 15.4%, net earnings $2.4M, operating cash flow $78.4M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for GEL stock?

The median of 3 analysts' 12-month targets is $18.00, +40% from $12.86; the range is $17.00 to $19.00. The average rating is none.

What is Genesis Energy LP's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$18.56 and $63.85, with a middle value of $26.82 against a price of $12.86. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Genesis Energy LP usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 40% of the quarters on record.

Is GEL stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.