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GEO Group earnings report card

Every report on file against what analysts and the company itself expected, and what the stock did

Beat rate4 of 5 reports beat the EPS estimate

GEO Group (GEO) beat the analysts' EPS estimate in 4 of its last 5 reports (80%), by +19.8% on average. On report days the stock moved 10.0% in either direction on median (largest 15.6%), rising 40% of the time; after a beat it rose 50% of the time.

Beat rate80% of 5
Average surprise+19.8%
Median move on the day±10.0%
Rose on the day40%

Report by report

QuarterReportedEPS est.EPS reportedSurpriseRevenue guidedRevenue reportedStock, the dayvs market
Q3 2026Nov 5, 2026$0.34$0.39+13.0%$755M–$805M$761M (within)+1.0%+5.1%
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.29$0.37+28.7%$715M–$725M$732M (above)-2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.20$0.29+48.7%—$705M+15.6%+14.5%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.25$0.25+0.0%—$708M-10.2%-8.8%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.23$0.25+8.7%—$682M-10.0%-9.0%

Estimates and reported EPS are the Street's adjusted figures. Revenue guided is the last range the company gave before the report. Revenue reported is from the company's filing. The stock's move is close to close around the report date (the close before it to the close of the session after), against SPY for the market column.

Charts

GEO Group: EPS reported against the estimateGEO Group: EPS reported against the estimateEstimateReported$0.23$0.25Q3 2025$0.25$0.25Q4 2025$0.20$0.29Q1 2026$0.29$0.37Q2 2026$0.34$0.39Q3 2026
Latest (Q3 2026): Estimate $0.34, Reported $0.39.
GEO: the stock's move on each report dayGEO: the stock's move on each report dayQ3 2026+1.0%Q2 2026-2.3%Q1 2026+15.6%Q4 2025-10.2%Q3 2025-10.0%
Close to close around the report, from the daily price history.

The earnings-day move

Over 5 reports the stock moved 10.0% on median on the day (close to close), the largest move 15.6%.

After a beat the stock rose 50% of the time (4 beats).

The next report: what to expect → GEO Group: every quarter →

Read automatically from SEC filings, earnings releases and public estimates; errors are possible. Not investment advice.