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Green Plains (GPRE) guidance and outlook

Green Plains' 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026 makes 15 forward-looking statements.

Guidance and outlook

Forward-looking statements, 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026

• These plants are connected to the Tallgrass Trailblazer CO2 Pipeline, while one of our Iowa and all of our Minnesota locations are committed to CCS through Summit Carbon Solutions, which projects operations commencing in 2028.
• CCS initiatives are expected to significantly lower CI across our platform.
• The company has been and expects to continue to benefit from certain clean energy related tax credits as a result of recent changes in legislation.
• We currently estimate that net ethanol exports will range from 2.4 to 2.5 billion gallons in 2026, based on historical demand from a variety of countries and certain countries that seek to improve their air quality, reduce greenhouse gas emissions through low carbon fuel programs and eliminate MTBE from their own fuel supplies.
• The final form of these regulations may or may not reflect the guidance in the proposed regulations and could materially impact the value of the credit and our ability to benefit from it.
• We incurred net capital expenditures of approximately $29.0 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2026, primarily for various capital projects.
• We expect additional capital spending related to efficiency projects during the remainder of 2026 of $10 million to $15 million, primarily for the addition of a grain storage building at our Wood River facility.
• The company financed the CCS projects at its three Nebraska plants.
• Estimated based on the current production outlook, eligible gallons, and sales of the production tax credits, the company expects to generate between $230 million and $250 million of EBITDA from the generation of Section 45Z production tax credits for the year ended December 31, 2026 and at least $250 million of EBITDA from the generation of Section 45Z production tax credits for the year ended December 31, 2027.
• We continuously monitor our exposure to margin calls and believe we will continue to maintain adequate liquidity to cover margin calls from our operating results and borrowings.
• Based on our forecasts, we anticipate we will maintain compliance at each of our subsidiaries for the next twelve months.
• We cannot provide assurance that actual results will approximate our forecasts or that we will inject the necessary capital into a subsidiary to maintain compliance with its respective covenants.

Green Plains' latest quarter

Questions

What does Green Plains expect?

These plants are connected to the Tallgrass Trailblazer CO2 Pipeline, while one of our Iowa and all of our Minnesota locations are committed to CCS through Summit Carbon Solutions, which projects operations commencing in 2028. CCS initiatives are expected to significantly lower CI across our platform. The company has been and expects to continue to benefit from certain clean energy related tax credits as a result of recent changes in legislation.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.