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Green Brick Partners (GRBK) stock forecast and fair value

Green Brick Partners (GRBK) trades at $64.82. One analyst's price target is $62.00 (-4%). Across 18 valuation methods the middle fair value is $57.15 (-12%).

Price$64.82
Median target$62.00
Fair value, middle$57.15
EPS beat rate80%
Green Brick Partners fair value by method (price $64.82)Green Brick Partners fair value by method (price $64.82)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$89.23P/E vs peers, weighted$81.21P/E vs peers, matched$89.81EV/Sales vs peers$37.23EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$57.16EV/Sales vs peers, matched$36.13Residual income$57.15Analysts' price targets$62.00Owner earnings capitalized$111.02Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$31.82

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$83.42$89.23$92.41+38%
P/E vs peers, weighted$61.70$81.21$90.78+25%
P/E vs peers, matched$81.19$89.81$93.24+39%
EV/Sales vs peers$24.91$37.23$60.01-43%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$41.40$57.16$63.94-12%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$24.30$36.13$60.47-44%
Residual income$55.08$57.15$59.34-12%
Analysts' price targets$62.00$62.00$62.00-4%
Owner earnings capitalized$96.14$111.02$131.36+71%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$27.56$31.82$37.65-51%

Green Brick Partners' latest quarter

Green Brick Partners, Q3 2026: revenue $448M (-9% year over year), operating margin 17.4%, net earnings $59.2M, operating cash flow −$52.5M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for GRBK stock?

One analyst's 12-month target is $62.00, -4% from $64.82. The average rating is hold.

What is Green Brick Partners' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $1.44 and $111.02, with a middle value of $57.15 against a price of $64.82. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Green Brick Partners usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is GRBK stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.