Filing Flows › Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) › Stock forecast & fair value
Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) stock forecast and fair value
Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) trades at $45.60. 12 analysts' median price target is $63.00 (+38%), from $42.00 to $80.00. Across 10 valuation methods the middle fair value is $47.40 (+4%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $19.68 | $24.35 | $36.24 | -47% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $19.54 | $24.44 | $32.07 | -46% |
| Analysts' price targets | $42.00 | $62.08 | $80.00 | +36% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $95.22 | $111.47 | $134.41 | +144% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $43.62 | $48.84 | $55.48 | +7% |
| Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer)) | $34.05 | $39.05 | $47.79 | -14% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $37.32 | $47.40 | $58.73 | +4% |
| Graham formula (revised) | $22.72 | $26.91 | $31.11 | -41% |
| Lynch fair P/E (PEGY) | $28.63 | $33.58 | $38.52 | -26% |
| H-model dividend discount | $61.01 | $71.43 | $86.13 | +57% |
Goosehead Insurance's latest quarter
Goosehead Insurance, Q2 2026: revenue $113M (+21% year over year), operating margin 23.5%, net earnings $10.1M, operating cash flow $15.9M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for GSHD stock?
The median of 12 analysts' 12-month targets is $63.00, +38% from $45.60; the range is $42.00 to $80.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Goosehead Insurance's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $24.35 and $111.47, with a middle value of $47.40 against a price of $45.60. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Goosehead Insurance usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is GSHD stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.