Filing Flows › Getty Realty (GTY) › Takeover & LBO
Is Getty Realty (GTY) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($36.22 a share) would return about 8% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $21.83 a share (−22% against today's $27.86). Historically 6.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.25× the average).
The buyout, step by step
| Entry | Amount | How |
|---|---|---|
| Offer price a share | $36.22 | today's $27.86 plus 30% |
| × shares | 62.6 million | |
| = Equity value | $2.3B | |
| + Debt refinanced | $1.2B | |
| − Cash | $8.8M | |
| = Enterprise value | $3.5B | 15.7× EBITDA of $220M |
| Fees | $69.0M | 2% of the price |
| New debt | $1.2B | 5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA |
| Buyer's own money | $2.3B | 66% of the cost |
5 years under the buyer
| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Interest | Free cash flow | Debt left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $260M | $238M | $92.6M | $128M | $1.1B |
| Year 2 | $277M | $254M | $82.8M | $150M | $933M |
| Year 3 | $292M | $268M | $71.4M | $171M | $762M |
| Year 4 | $305M | $279M | $58.3M | $191M | $571M |
| Year 5 | $314M | $287M | $43.7M | $210M | $361M |
The exit and the buyer's return
| Exit | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit multiple | 13.3× EBITDA | today's trading multiple, before any premium |
| Enterprise value at exit | $3.8B | |
| − Debt left | $361M | |
| = Buyer's equity | $3.5B | |
| Money multiple | 1.50× | on $2.3B put in |
| Buyer's yearly return (IRR) | 8.4% |
Price against return
What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $27.86; the IRR reaches 20% at $21.83 a share.
| Premium | Price a share | Buyer's IRR |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $30.65 | 12.1% |
| 20% | $33.43 | 10.2% |
| 30% | $36.22 | 8.4% |
| 40% | $39.00 | 6.8% |
| 50% | $41.79 | 5.4% |
The figures used
| Figure | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $240M | |
| EBITDA, last 12 months | $220M | 91.5% of revenue |
| Depreciation and amortization | $67.3M | |
| Debt | $1.2B | |
| Cash | $8.8M | |
| Share price | $27.86 | on Oct 9, 2026 |
Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 8.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 21% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Getty Realty would cost about $36.91 a share, $2.3B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 20% | $33.43 | $2.1B |
| Median | 32.5% | $36.91 | $2.3B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 51.8% | $42.29 | $2.6B |
The odds, from history
Historically 6.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.25× the average). Its figures put it in decile 8 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Getty Realty's latest quarter
Getty Realty, Q3 2026: revenue $63.0M (+13% year over year), operating margin 61.7%, net earnings $25.6M, operating cash flow $31.2M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Getty Realty being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy Getty Realty?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($36.22 a share) would return about 8% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $21.83 a share (−22% against today's $27.86).
What would a takeover of Getty Realty cost?
Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Getty Realty would cost about $36.91 a share, $2.3B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.