Filing Flows › Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) › Stock forecast & fair value
Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) stock forecast and fair value
Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) trades at $101.46. One analyst's price target is $74.00 (-27%). Across 17 valuation methods the middle fair value is $88.25 (-13%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $34.60 | $37.75 | $39.53 | -63% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $26.83 | $34.14 | $39.33 | -66% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $33.81 | $38.89 | $39.91 | -62% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $188.29 | $377.88 | $506.08 | +272% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $354.73 | $458.34 | $529.76 | +352% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $226.87 | $409.07 | $530.50 | +303% |
| Residual income | $91.86 | $95.26 | $98.87 | -6% |
| Analysts' price targets | $74.00 | $74.00 | $74.00 | -27% |
| Owner earnings capitalized | $24.44 | $27.93 | $32.59 | -72% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $81.89 | $93.60 | $109.21 | -8% |
Hovnanian Enterprises' latest quarter
Hovnanian Enterprises, Q3 FY26: revenue $706M (-12% year over year), operating margin -0.9%, net loss $2.2M, operating cash flow −$24.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for HOV stock?
One analyst's 12-month target is $74.00, -27% from $101.46. The average rating is none.
What is Hovnanian Enterprises' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $13.55 and $458.34, with a middle value of $88.25 against a price of $101.46. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Hovnanian Enterprises usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 33% of the quarters on record.
Is HOV stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.