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Is Hyster-Yale (HY) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Hyster-Yale on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$47.4M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $3.4B). Historically 6.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.19× the average).

Share price$28.49
Market value$511M
Enterprise value$920M
Cash$58.5M
Debt$466M
Revenue, 12 months$3.4B
Revenue growth-14%
EBITDA, 12 months−$47.4M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. Hyster-Yale's EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$47.4M on revenue of $3.4B, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Hyster-Yale would cost about $39.89 a share, $715M for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)14.7%$32.68$586M
Median40%$39.89$715M
High end (a quarter paid more)60.2%$45.64$818M

The odds, from history

Historically 6.0% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.19× the average). Its figures put it in decile 8 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Hyster-Yale's latest quarter

Hyster-Yale, Q3 2026: revenue $827M (-16% year over year), operating margin -1.1%, net loss $14.3M, operating cash flow $26.3M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Hyster-Yale being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Hyster-Yale?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Hyster-Yale on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$47.4M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $3.4B). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of Hyster-Yale cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Hyster-Yale would cost about $39.89 a share, $715M for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.