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Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($305.37 a share) would return about 5% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $177.84 a share (−24% against today's $234.90). Historically 2.6% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.52× the average).

Share price$234.90
Offer at +30%$305.37
Buyer's IRR5%
Most for 20%$177.84
EV / EBITDA16.4×
Buyout debt5.5× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$305.37today's $234.90 plus 30%
× shares64.7 million
= Equity value$19.8B
+ Debt refinanced$5.6B
− Cash$2.0B
= Enterprise value$23.3B20.3× EBITDA of $1.1B
Fees$466M2% of the price
New debt$6.3B5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA
Buyer's own money$17.5B74% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

Jazz Pharmaceuticals: buyout debt left, year by yearJazz Pharmaceuticals: buyout debt left, year by year$6.3BEntry$5.7BYear 1$4.9BYear 2$4.0BYear 3$3.0BYear 4$2.0BYear 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$5.1B$1.2B$482M$640M$5.7B
Year 2$5.4B$1.3B$433M$759M$4.9B
Year 3$5.7B$1.4B$375M$872M$4.0B
Year 4$6.0B$1.5B$308M$981M$3.0B
Year 5$6.2B$1.5B$233M$1.1B$2.0B

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple16.4× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$24.5B
− Debt left$2.0B
= Buyer's equity$22.5B
Money multiple1.29×on $17.5B put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)5.2%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $234.90; the IRR reaches 20% at $177.84 a share.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$258.399.4%
20%$281.887.2%
30%$305.375.2%
40%$328.863.4%
50%$352.351.8%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$4.7B
EBITDA, last 12 months$1.1B24.3% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$719M
Capital spending$70.8M
Debt$5.6B
Cash$2.0B
Share price$234.90on Nov 6, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 8.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 21% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 35% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 22% to 45%), according to the 15 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Jazz Pharmaceuticals would cost about $317.12 a share, $20.5B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)22%$286.58$18.5B
Median35%$317.12$20.5B
High end (a quarter paid more)45%$340.61$22.0B

The odds, from history

Historically 2.6% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.52× the average). Its figures put it in decile 2 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals' latest quarter

Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Q3 2026: revenue $1.2B (+10% year over year), operating margin -33.3%, net loss $483M, operating cash flow $506M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Jazz Pharmaceuticals?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($305.37 a share) would return about 5% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $177.84 a share (−24% against today's $234.90).

What would a takeover of Jazz Pharmaceuticals cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 35% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 22% to 45%), according to the 15 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Jazz Pharmaceuticals would cost about $317.12 a share, $20.5B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.