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JPMorgan Chase (JPM) stock forecast and fair value

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) trades at $334.49. 23 analysts' median price target is $372.00 (+11%), from $312.00 to $425.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $273.72 (-18%).

Price$334.49
Median target$372.00
Fair value, middle$273.72
EPS beat rate50%
JPMorgan Chase fair value by method (price $334.49)JPMorgan Chase fair value by method (price $334.49)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$285.33P/E vs peers, weighted$298.57P/E vs peers, matched$282.03Residual income$182.43P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$270.37Analysts' price targets$373.48Our model (Rotation forecast)$339.52Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$254.06Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$343.89Dividend discount (Gordon)$112.07

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$259.98$285.33$327.33-15%
P/E vs peers, weighted$282.37$298.57$343.40-11%
P/E vs peers, matched$266.35$282.03$307.68-16%
Residual income$175.91$182.43$189.33-45%
P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$221.66$270.37$319.09-19%
Analysts' price targets$312.00$373.48$425.00+12%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$310.57$339.52$371.19+2%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$223.27$254.06$294.71-24%
Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$292.95$343.89$416.29+3%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$95.47$112.07$135.66-66%

JPMorgan Chase's latest quarter

JPMorgan Chase, Q3 2026: revenue $50.2B (+8% year over year), operating margin 40.1%, net earnings $15.3B, operating cash flow $33.2B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for JPM stock?

The median of 23 analysts' 12-month targets is $372.00, +11% from $334.49; the range is $312.00 to $425.00. The average rating is buy.

What is JPMorgan Chase's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $112.07 and $377.52, with a middle value of $273.72 against a price of $334.49. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does JPMorgan Chase usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.

Is JPM stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.