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Mara Holdings (MARA) stock forecast and fair value

Mara Holdings (MARA) trades at $7.53. 13 analysts' median price target is $15.00 (+99%), from $10.00 to $30.00. Across 11 valuation methods the middle fair value is $2.66 (-65%).

Price$7.53
Median target$15.00
Fair value, middle$2.66
EPS beat rate50%
Mara Holdings fair value by method (price $7.53)Mara Holdings fair value by method (price $7.53)low – highpoint estimateEV/Sales vs peers$2.53EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$8.68Residual income−$3.83Analysts' price targets$17.69Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$1.25Tangible book (asset value)$4.01Survival-weighted value$2.66Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$3.16Combined forecast (3 months)$7.83Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can …$2.21

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
EV/Sales vs peers−$1.30$2.53$5.86-66%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$4.77$8.68$16.09+15%
Residual income−$3.79−$3.83−$3.86-151%
Analysts' price targets$10.00$17.69$30.00+135%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$1.14$1.25$1.38-83%
Tangible book (asset value)$3.21$4.01$4.01-47%
Survival-weighted value−$0.46$2.66$5.37-65%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$0.73$3.16$4.99-58%
Combined forecast (3 months)$6.17$7.83$9.70+4%
Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out)$0.00$2.21$0.90-71%

Mara Holdings' latest quarter

Mara Holdings, Q2 2026: revenue $175M (-27% year over year), operating margin -298.0%, net loss $611M, operating cash flow −$224M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for MARA stock?

The median of 13 analysts' 12-month targets is $15.00, +99% from $7.53; the range is $10.00 to $30.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Mara Holdings' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$3.83 and $17.69, with a middle value of $2.66 against a price of $7.53. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Mara Holdings usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.

Is MARA stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.