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Mattel earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score66 / 100 · grade B · rank 512 of 1027

Mattel (MAT) scores 66 of 100 for earnings quality, grade B: rank 512 of 1027 companies and 74 of 141 in consumer-disc. It loses the most points on accruals of -3.0% of assets, higher than 63% of companies (profit backed by cash), Montier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed, Piotroski F-score 5 of 9. It earns full or near-full marks for adjusted earnings 4% above GAAP, Beneish M-score -2.51: clean (below −2.22), profit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.27).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -3.0% of assets, higher than 63% of companies (profit backed by cash)720
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.51: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 1.27 (above normal)1215
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed515
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +1.6% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most710
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 5 of 9610
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 4% above GAAP910
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.27)55
MAT: share of the available points, by componentMAT: share of the available points, by componentAccruals37%Discretionary accruals72%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score81%Montier C-score33%Piotroski F-score56%Non-GAAP gap86%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → Mattel: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.