Filing Flows › Matson (MATX) › Stock forecast & fair value
Matson (MATX) stock forecast and fair value
Matson (MATX) trades at $211.93. 4 analysts' median price target is $295.00 (+39%), from $270.00 to $310.00. Across 22 valuation methods the middle fair value is $229.50 (+8%); the DCF says $224.71.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | $68.51 | $236.29 | $634.29 | +11% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | $85.97 | $224.71 | $437.31 | +6% |
| P/E vs peers | $186.09 | $242.55 | $294.10 | +14% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $216.77 | $304.76 | $368.30 | +44% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $278.42 | $299.30 | $382.44 | +41% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $272.11 | $302.56 | $456.17 | +43% |
| Residual income | $124.60 | $129.26 | $134.20 | -39% |
| Analysts' price targets | $270.00 | $292.50 | $310.00 | +38% |
| Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo | −$233.26 | $256.04 | $886.18 | +21% |
| Owner earnings capitalized | $52.42 | $60.05 | $70.27 | -72% |
Matson's latest quarter
Matson, Q3 2026: revenue $1.1B (+26% year over year), operating margin 22.9%, net earnings $209M, operating cash flow $229M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for MATX stock?
The median of 4 analysts' 12-month targets is $295.00, +39% from $211.93; the range is $270.00 to $310.00. The average rating is strong buy.
What is Matson's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $30.38 and $308.99, with a middle value of $229.50 against a price of $211.93. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Matson usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is MATX stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.