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Mercantile Bank (MBWM) stock forecast and fair value

Mercantile Bank (MBWM) trades at $57.78. 6 analysts' median price target is $65.00 (+12%), from $62.00 to $66.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $64.17 (+11%).

Price$57.78
Median target$65.00
Fair value, middle$64.17
EPS beat rate100%
Mercantile Bank fair value by method (price $57.78)Mercantile Bank fair value by method (price $57.78)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$66.65P/E vs peers, weighted$73.48P/E vs peers, matched$67.17Residual income$49.09P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$66.61Analysts' price targets$64.17Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$21.36Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$77.19Dividend discount (Gordon)$27.98Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$58.10

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$59.20$66.65$76.80+15%
P/E vs peers, weighted$62.69$73.48$91.37+27%
P/E vs peers, matched$60.07$67.17$77.42+16%
Residual income$47.32$49.09$50.96-15%
P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$50.86$66.61$82.35+15%
Analysts' price targets$62.00$64.17$66.00+11%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$18.56$21.36$25.13-63%
Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$64.64$77.19$95.78+34%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$23.43$27.98$34.72-52%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$49.35$58.10$68.61+0.6%

Mercantile Bank's latest quarter

Mercantile Bank, Q3 2026: revenue $73.2M (+17% year over year), operating margin 39.5%, net earnings $24.1M, operating cash flow $47.1M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for MBWM stock?

The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $65.00, +12% from $57.78; the range is $62.00 to $66.00. The average rating is none.

What is Mercantile Bank's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $21.36 and $77.19, with a middle value of $64.17 against a price of $57.78. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Mercantile Bank usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is MBWM stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.