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MP Materials earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score38 / 100 · grade D · rank 973 of 1027

MP Materials (MP) scores 38 of 100 for earnings quality, grade D: rank 973 of 1027 companies and 81 of 82 in materials. It loses the most points on accruals of +2.3% of assets, higher than 92% of companies, adjusted earnings 255% below GAAP, discretionary accruals of +11.1% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most. It earns full or near-full marks for Dechow F-score 0.66 (normal), profit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.01). Revenue grew 72% in the year: fast growth raises accruals, the Beneish and Dechow scores and the C-score by construction, so a growing company scores lower than a steady one with the same accounting.

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of +2.3% of assets, higher than 92% of companies227
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.66 (normal)2020
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 3 of 5 checks failed820
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +11.1% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most113
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 255% below GAAP013
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.01)77
MP: share of the available points, by componentMP: share of the available points, by componentAccruals7%Discretionary accruals9%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score40%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → MP Materials: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.