Filing Flows › Marvell Technology (MRVL) › Takeover & LBO
Is Marvell Technology (MRVL) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout does not work for Marvell Technology on its latest figures: the figures a buyout model needs (revenue, EBITDA, the share count and the price) are not all on file. Historically 2.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.57× the average). Latest signal (2026-11-04): Marvell shares drop 11% amid acquisition talks but could grow $1,000 to $1,549 by 2030 in base case..
Why a leveraged buyout does not fit
The buyout model needs Marvell Technology's revenue, EBITDA, share count and share price; not all of them are on file, so it gives no buyout price.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium.
The odds, from history
Historically 2.9% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.57× the average). Its figures put it in decile 2 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
Rumors and deal signals
- 2026-11-04 · news · Marvell shares drop 11% amid acquisition talks but could grow $1,000 to $1,549 by 2030 in base case.
- 2026-11-02 · 8-K deal · On November 1, 2026, Marvell Technology, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ Marvell ”) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) with Lumentum Holdings Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ Lumentum ”), Java Merger Sub,
- 2026-11-02 · 8-K deal · MARVELL AND LUMENTUM TO COMBINE, CREATING A CATEGORY LEADER IN AI CONNECTIVITY
- 2026-11-02 · deal · Agreed sale to Marvell · pending
- 2026-10-29 · news · Marvell Stock (MRVL) Sinks 15% on Lumentum Buyout Talks — Here’s What Analysts See
- 2026-10-29 · news · Marvell Is in Talks to Buy an $83 Billion AI Laser Maker
- 2026-10-29 · news · Raymond James reiterates Strong Buy on Marvell stock amid acquisition talks
Marvell Technology's latest quarter
Marvell Technology, Q2 FY27: revenue $2.7B (+36% year over year), operating margin 16.8%, net earnings $308M, operating cash flow $606M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is Marvell Technology being acquired?
The latest signal on file is from 2026-11-04: Marvell shares drop 11% amid acquisition talks but could grow $1,000 to $1,549 by 2030 in base case.. A headline is not a deal; Filing Flows lists the news, 8-K filings and 13D filings about a sale.
Could private equity buy Marvell Technology?
A leveraged buyout does not work for Marvell Technology on its latest figures: the figures a buyout model needs (revenue, EBITDA, the share count and the price) are not all on file. The model gives no buyout price until they are.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.