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MSCI (MSCI) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

MSCI gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Jan 30, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance once (50%). Tax rate: 1 of 2, on average +1.0 pts against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance twice and lowered it 0 times.

Tax rate

MSCI Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedMSCI Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY202418.2%FY202519.5%

Met or beat 1 of 2 periods (1 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202517.5%–20.0% (Jan 29, 2025) → reaffirmed 17.5%–20.0% (Apr 22, 2025) → reaffirmed 17.5%–20.0% (Jul 22, 2025) → lowered 16.0%–18.0% (Oct 28, 2025)19.5%above the range+2.5 pts
FY202418.0%–21.0% (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed 18.0%–21.0% (Apr 23, 2024) → reaffirmed 18.0%–21.0% (Jul 23, 2024) → lowered 18.0%–19.5% (Oct 29, 2024)18.2%within the range-0.5 pts

EBITDA

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$1.3B–$1.3B (Apr 21, 2026) → raised $1.3B–$1.4B (Oct 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2024$1.1B–$1.2B (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.1B–$1.2B (Jul 23, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.1B–$1.2B (Oct 29, 2024)———

Interest expense

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$274M–$280M (Jan 28, 2026) → reaffirmed $274M–$280M (Apr 21, 2026) → raised $282M–$286M (Jul 21, 2026) → raised $288M–$291M (Oct 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$182M–$186M (Jan 29, 2025) → reaffirmed $182M–$186M (Apr 22, 2025) → reaffirmed $182M–$186M (Jul 22, 2025) → raised $205M–$209M (Oct 28, 2025)———
FY2024$185M–$189M (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $185M–$189M (Apr 23, 2024) → reaffirmed $185M–$189M (Jul 23, 2024) → lowered $183M–$186M (Oct 29, 2024)———

Depreciation & amortization

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$185M–$195M (Jan 28, 2026) → raised $190M–$200M (Apr 21, 2026) → raised $195M–$205M (Jul 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $195M–$205M (Oct 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$185M–$195M (Jan 29, 2025) → reaffirmed $185M–$195M (Apr 22, 2025) → reaffirmed $185M–$195M (Jul 22, 2025) → reaffirmed $185M–$195M (Oct 28, 2025)———
FY2024$170M–$180M (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $170M–$180M (Apr 23, 2024)———

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$160M–$170M (Jan 28, 2026) → reaffirmed $160M–$170M (Apr 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $160M–$170M (Jul 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $160M–$170M (Oct 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$115M–$125M (Jan 29, 2025) → reaffirmed $115M–$125M (Apr 22, 2025) → reaffirmed $115M–$125M (Jul 22, 2025) → raised $120M–$130M (Oct 28, 2025)$39.3M (GAAP)not judged—
FY2024$95.0M–$105M (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $95.0M–$105M (Apr 23, 2024) → reaffirmed $95.0M–$105M (Jul 23, 2024) → raised $105M–$115M (Oct 29, 2024)$33.8M (GAAP)not judged—

Operating cash flow

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$1.6B–$1.7B (Jan 28, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.6B–$1.7B (Apr 21, 2026) → raised $1.7B–$1.7B (Jul 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.7B–$1.7B (Oct 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$1.5B–$1.6B (Jan 29, 2025) → reaffirmed $1.5B–$1.6B (Apr 22, 2025) → reaffirmed $1.5B–$1.6B (Jul 22, 2025) → raised $1.5B–$1.6B (Oct 28, 2025)$1.6B (GAAP)not judged—
FY2024$1.3B–$1.4B (Jan 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.3B–$1.4B (Apr 23, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.3B–$1.4B (Jul 23, 2024) → raised $1.4B–$1.5B (Oct 29, 2024)$1.5B (GAAP)not judged—

The latest quarter

MSCI, Q3 2026: revenue $892M (+12% year over year), operating margin 56.3%, net earnings $351M, operating cash flow $436M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does MSCI beat its guidance?

MSCI gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Jan 30, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance once (50%). Tax rate: 1 of 2, on average +1.0 pts against the guided midpoint.

How often does MSCI raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance twice and lowered it 0 times since Jan 30, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.