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Mastec (MTZ) stock forecast and fair value

Mastec (MTZ) trades at $158.94. 21 analysts' median price target is $308.00 (+94%), from $232.00 to $518.00. Across 19 valuation methods the middle fair value is $168.59 (+6%).

Price$158.94
Median target$308.00
Fair value, middle$168.59
EPS beat rate80%
Mastec fair value by method (price $158.94)Mastec fair value by method (price $158.94)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$124.17P/E vs peers, weighted$168.59EV/Sales vs peers$225.68EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$233.14EV/Sales vs peers, matched$227.23Residual income$48.70Analysts' price targets$315.76Our model (Rotation forecast)$219.09Owner earnings capitalized$102.14Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$12.08

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$81.40$124.17$196.77-22%
P/E vs peers, weighted$104.67$168.59$235.99+6%
EV/Sales vs peers$140.07$225.68$255.73+42%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$127.41$233.14$310.69+47%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$183.21$227.23$248.99+43%
Residual income$47.00$48.70$50.49-69%
Analysts' price targets$232.00$315.76$518.00+99%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$135.78$219.09$353.54+38%
Owner earnings capitalized$91.06$102.14$116.28-36%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$10.77$12.08$13.75-92%

Mastec's latest quarter

Mastec, Q3 2026: revenue $5.2B (+30% year over year), operating margin 5.3%, net earnings $151M, operating cash flow $267M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for MTZ stock?

The median of 21 analysts' 12-month targets is $308.00, +94% from $158.94; the range is $232.00 to $518.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is Mastec's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $12.08 and $346.94, with a middle value of $168.59 against a price of $158.94. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Mastec usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is MTZ stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.