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NVIDIA (NVDA) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

NVIDIA gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 21, 2023. Of 26 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 24 times (92%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +4.6% against the guided midpoint.

Revenue

NVIDIA Revenue: last guidance vs reportedNVIDIA Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q4 FY25$39.3BQ1 FY26$44.1BQ2 FY26$46.7BQ3 FY26$57.0BQ4 FY26$68.1BQ1 FY27$81.6BQ2 FY27$96.2BQ3 FY27

Met or beat 7 of 7 periods (7 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$105.8B–$110.2B (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$89.2B–$92.8B (May 20, 2026)$96.2Babove the range+5.7%
Q1 FY27$76.4B–$79.6B (Feb 25, 2026)$81.6Babove the range+4.6%
Q4 FY26$63.7B–$66.3B (Nov 19, 2025)$68.1Babove the range+4.8%
Q3 FY26$52.9B–$55.1B (Aug 27, 2025)$57.0Babove the range+5.6%
Q2 FY26$44.1B–$45.9B (May 28, 2025)$46.7Babove the range+3.9%
Q1 FY26$42.1B–$43.9B (Feb 26, 2025)$44.1Babove the range+2.5%
Q4 FY25$36.8B–$38.2B (Nov 20, 2024)$39.3Babove the range+4.9%

GAAP gross margin

NVIDIA GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedNVIDIA GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY2573.0%Q1 FY2660.5%Q2 FY2672.4%Q3 FY2673.4%Q4 FY2675.0%Q1 FY2774.9%Q2 FY2775.0%Q3 FY27

Met or beat 6 of 7 periods (1 above, 5 within, 1 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY2773.5%–74.5% (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY2774.4%–75.4% (May 20, 2026)75.0%within the range+0.1 pts
Q1 FY2774.4%–75.4% (Feb 25, 2026)74.9%within the range+0.0 pts
Q4 FY2674.3%–75.3% (Nov 19, 2025)75.0%within the range+0.2 pts
Q3 FY2672.8%–73.8% (Aug 27, 2025)73.4%within the range+0.1 pts
Q2 FY2671.3%–72.3% (May 28, 2025)72.4%above the range+0.6 pts
Q1 FY2670.1%–71.1% (Feb 26, 2025)60.5%below the range-10.1 pts
Q4 FY2572.5%–73.5% (Nov 20, 2024)73.0%within the range+0.0 pts
Q3 FY2573.9%–74.9% (Aug 28, 2024)———
Q2 FY2574.3%–75.3% (May 22, 2024)———

Adjusted gross margin

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY2773.5%–74.5% (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY2774.5%–75.5% (May 20, 2026)———
Q1 FY2774.5%–75.5% (Feb 25, 2026)———
Q4 FY2674.5%–75.5% (Nov 19, 2025)———
Q3 FY2670.0% (Aug 27, 2025)———
Q2 FY2671.5%–72.5% (May 28, 2025)———
Q1 FY2670.5%–71.5% (Feb 26, 2025)———
Q4 FY2573.0%–74.0% (Nov 20, 2024)———
Q3 FY2574.5%–75.5% (Aug 28, 2024)———
Q2 FY2575.0%–76.0% (May 22, 2024)———

GAAP operating expenses

NVIDIA GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedNVIDIA GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25$4.7BQ1 FY26$5.0BQ2 FY26$5.4BQ3 FY26$5.8BQ4 FY26$6.8BQ1 FY27$7.6BQ2 FY27$8.4BQ3 FY27

Met or beat 6 of 7 periods (1 above, 3 within, 3 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$9.2B (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$8.5B (May 20, 2026)$8.4Bwithin the range-1.1%
Q1 FY27$7.7B (Feb 25, 2026)$7.6Bwithin the range-1.0%
Q4 FY26$6.7B (Nov 19, 2025)$6.8Babove the range+1.4%
Q3 FY26$5.9B (Aug 27, 2025)$5.8Bwithin the range-1.0%
Q2 FY26$5.7B (May 28, 2025)$5.4Bbelow the range-5.0%
Q1 FY26$5.2B (Feb 26, 2025)$5.0Bbelow the range-3.3%
Q4 FY25$4.8B (Nov 20, 2024)$4.7Bbelow the range-2.3%
Q3 FY25$4.3B (Aug 28, 2024)———
Q2 FY25$4.0B (May 22, 2024)———

Adjusted operating expenses

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$9.0B (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$8.3B (May 20, 2026)———
Q1 FY27$7.5B (Feb 25, 2026)———
Q4 FY26$5.0B (Nov 19, 2025)———
Q3 FY26$4.2B (Aug 27, 2025)———
Q2 FY26$4.0B (May 28, 2025)———
Q1 FY26$3.6B (Feb 26, 2025)———
Q4 FY25$3.4B (Nov 20, 2024)———
Q3 FY25$3.0B (Aug 28, 2024)———
Q2 FY25$2.8B (May 22, 2024)———

GAAP tax rate

NVIDIA GAAP tax rate: last guidance vs reportedNVIDIA GAAP tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY2512.4%Q1 FY2614.3%Q2 FY2615.3%Q3 FY2615.9%Q4 FY2614.8%FY27

Met or beat 5 of 5 periods (0 above, 1 within, 4 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2717.0%–19.0% (Feb 25, 2026) → lowered 16.0%–18.0% (May 20, 2026) → reaffirmed 16.0%–18.0% (Aug 26, 2026)—to be reported—
Q4 FY2616.0%–18.0% (Nov 19, 2025)14.8%below the range-2.2 pts
Q3 FY2615.5%–17.5% (Aug 27, 2025)15.9%within the range-0.6 pts
Q2 FY2615.5%–17.5% (May 28, 2025)15.3%below the range-1.2 pts
Q1 FY2616.0%–18.0% (Feb 26, 2025)14.3%below the range-2.7 pts
Q4 FY2515.5%–17.5% (Nov 20, 2024)12.4%below the range-4.1 pts
Q3 FY2516.0%–18.0% (Aug 28, 2024)———
Q2 FY2516.0%–18.0% (May 22, 2024)———
Q1 FY2516.0%–18.0% (Feb 21, 2024)———
Q4 FY2414.0%–16.0% (Nov 21, 2023)———

The latest quarter

NVIDIA, Q2 FY27: revenue $96.2B (+106% year over year), operating margin 66.2%, net earnings $59.7B, operating cash flow $24.1B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does NVIDIA beat its guidance?

NVIDIA gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 21, 2023. Of 26 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 24 times (92%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +4.6% against the guided midpoint.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.