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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score59 / 100 · grade C · rank 731 of 1027

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) scores 59 of 100 for earnings quality, grade C: rank 731 of 1027 companies and 107 of 141 in consumer-disc. It loses the most points on accruals of -2.0% of assets, higher than 73% of companies (profit backed by cash), Montier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed, Beneish M-score -2.07: in the grey zone. It earns full or near-full marks for Piotroski F-score 8 of 9, adjusted earnings 1% below GAAP, Dechow F-score 0.53 (normal).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -2.0% of assets, higher than 73% of companies (profit backed by cash)620
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.07: in the grey zone1015
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.53 (normal)1515
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 4 of 6 checks failed515
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +3.2% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most510
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 8 of 9910
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 1% below GAAP1010
Earnings smoothnessprofit far steadier than cash flow (smoothness 0.25)05
OLLI: share of the available points, by componentOLLI: share of the available points, by componentAccruals28%Discretionary accruals50%Beneish M-score65%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score33%Piotroski F-score89%Non-GAAP gap97%Earnings smoothness10%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

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Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.