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Philip Morris International earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score57 / 100 · grade C · rank 755 of 1027

Philip Morris International (PM) scores 57 of 100 for earnings quality, grade C: rank 755 of 1027 companies and 41 of 48 in consumer-staples. It loses the most points on accruals of -1.4% of assets, higher than 77% of companies, Montier C-score 6 of 6 checks failed, adjusted earnings 16% below GAAP. It earns full or near-full marks for Beneish M-score -2.39: clean (below −2.22), Piotroski F-score 9 of 9, profit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 0.84).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -1.4% of assets, higher than 77% of companies420
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.39: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 1.44 (above normal)1015
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 6 of 6 checks failed015
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of -1.3% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most810
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 9 of 91010
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 16% below GAAP410
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 0.84)55
PM: share of the available points, by componentPM: share of the available points, by componentAccruals22%Discretionary accruals77%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score70%Piotroski F-score100%Non-GAAP gap45%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

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Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.