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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) stock forecast and fair value

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) trades at $7.36. 6 analysts' median price target is $9.50 (+29%), from $8.50 to $12.50. Across 13 valuation methods the middle fair value is $16.44 (+123%).

Price$7.36
Median target$9.50
Fair value, middle$16.44
EPS beat rate60%
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust fair value by method (price $7.36)PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust fair value by method (price $7.36)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$12.50P/E vs peers, weighted$16.44P/E vs peers, matched$12.50Residual income$16.59Analysts' price targets$9.75Owner earnings capitalized$9.67Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$33.08Dividend discount (Gordon)$33.08Stage-weighted value (reit)$23.92Graham number$14.70

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$9.03$12.50$17.13+70%
P/E vs peers, weighted$11.66$16.44$33.13+123%
P/E vs peers, matched$9.03$12.50$17.13+70%
Residual income$15.97$16.59$17.24+125%
Analysts' price targets$8.50$9.75$12.50+32%
Owner earnings capitalized$8.05$9.67$12.12+31%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$27.52$33.08$41.44+349%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$27.52$33.08$41.44+349%
Stage-weighted value (reit)$21.10$23.92$28.00+225%
Graham number$12.01$14.70$16.98+100%

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's latest quarter

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, Q3 2026: revenue $36.2M (-64% year over year), operating margin -45.4%, net loss $25.4M, operating cash flow −$2.7B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for PMT stock?

The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $9.50, +29% from $7.36; the range is $8.50 to $12.50. The average rating is hold.

What is PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $9.67 and $33.08, with a middle value of $16.44 against a price of $7.36. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.

Is PMT stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.