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Phillips 66 earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score63 / 100 · grade C · rank 600 of 1027

Phillips 66 (PSX) scores 63 of 100 for earnings quality, grade C: rank 600 of 1027 companies and 28 of 34 in energy. It loses the most points on accruals of -0.8% of assets, higher than 81% of companies, Montier C-score 3 of 6 checks failed, discretionary accruals of +4.5% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most. It earns full or near-full marks for Piotroski F-score 8 of 9, Beneish M-score -2.77: clean (below −2.22), Dechow F-score 0.66 (normal).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -0.8% of assets, higher than 81% of companies420
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.77: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.66 (normal)1515
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 3 of 6 checks failed815
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +4.5% of assets (modified Jones), larger than most410
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 8 of 9910
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 17% above GAAP410
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 1.33)55
PSX: share of the available points, by componentPSX: share of the available points, by componentAccruals19%Discretionary accruals36%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score50%Piotroski F-score89%Non-GAAP gap45%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → Phillips 66: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.