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Patterson UTI Energy (PTEN) stock forecast and fair value

Patterson UTI Energy (PTEN) trades at $9.98. 15 analysts' median price target is $15.00 (+50%), from $12.00 to $19.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $5.28 (-47%); the DCF says −$5.69.

Price$9.98
Median target$15.00
Fair value, middle$5.28
DCF−$5.69
EPS beat rate80%
Patterson UTI Energy fair value by method (price $9.98)Patterson UTI Energy fair value by method (price $9.98)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…−$8.23DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…−$5.69EV/Sales vs peers$25.77EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$24.59EV/Sales vs peers, matched$11.16Residual income$5.28Analysts' price targets$14.83Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo−$9.67Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$7.31Survival-weighted value−$5.42

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$46.48−$8.23$26.16-182%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$27.62−$5.69$10.82-157%
EV/Sales vs peers$15.98$25.77$31.24+158%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$15.43$24.59$32.77+146%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$8.37$11.16$19.51+12%
Residual income$5.09$5.28$5.48-47%
Analysts' price targets$12.00$14.83$19.00+49%
Outside view — base-rate Monte Carlo−$38.75−$9.67$28.75-197%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$6.40$7.31$8.53-27%
Survival-weighted value−$26.82−$5.42$10.70-154%

Patterson UTI Energy's latest quarter

Patterson UTI Energy, Q3 2026: revenue $1.3B (+14% year over year), operating margin 4.7%, net earnings $28.6M, operating cash flow $301M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for PTEN stock?

The median of 15 analysts' 12-month targets is $15.00, +50% from $9.98; the range is $12.00 to $19.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Patterson UTI Energy's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$9.67 and $25.77, with a middle value of $5.28 against a price of $9.98. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Patterson UTI Energy usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is PTEN stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.